2 (10) Years of Russian War against Ukraine: Takeaways and Forecasts

Two years after the outbreak of Russia’s aggression against Ukraine, the New Strategy Center (Romania) and the New Geopolitics Research Network (Ukraine) present a study entitled “Two Years of War in Ukraine: The Impact on Military Operations by Ukraine and Russia”. The author of the study is Mykhailo Samus, Director of NGRN, and non-resident expert at the New Strategy Center. The study examines the lessons learned so far from the war, the impact on the organisation of Ukraine’s armed forces, changes in doctrine, how Ukraine has resorted to asymmetric actions to deal with Russian aggression. At the same time, the author also discusses the solutions recorded in the Russian camp to improve their actions and try to achieve positive results on the front.

The study stresses the importance of 2024, both for the future and independence of Ukraine, and in terms of the effects on regional and global stability, depending on possible developments on the front. The West needs to understand that Russia’s aggression will not stop in Ukraine if the country can no longer defend itself amid diminishing external support and the Putin regime continues its war against other states.

The recommended course of action for Ukraine and the West involves a comprehensive approach, with particular attention to the development of resources and technological and industrial infrastructure. Key elements include accelerating the production of arms and ammunition, identifying economic opportunities and implementing targeted sanctions to weaken Russia economically by limiting its technological and financial capabilities.
 

The study can be accessed here

Mykhailo Samus

NGRN Director

After 20 years in media as well as in security and defence analysis and consultancy, Mykhailo is an experienced researcher in the sphere of international relations, national resilience and new generation warfare. Served 12 years in the Ukrainian Armed Forces, he gained his Master’s Degree in International Journalism from the Institute of Journalism, Kyiv Shevchenko National University (2007). Having started his career as a journalist at Defense Express, he became the Editor-in-Chief of the Export Control Newsletter magazine, and then the Deputy Director of the Center for Army, Conversion and Disarmament Studies.

He was the founder (2009) of the EU CACDS office in Prague (Czech Republic), and was responsible for the coordination of CACDS international activities, its regional sections, and projects with NATO and the EU. Mykhailo also was the member of the editorial border of the CACDS Analytical Bulletin Challenges and Risks.

Now Mykhailo is a chief and one the drivers of new international project – The New Geopolitics Research Network which is an independent and nonpartisan initiative to provide a think tank platform for researchers, academics, experts, journalists, intellectuals who aspire to shape a new facets of geopolitics.

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