Six Months of Russian Full-Scale Aggression Against Ukraine

Mykhailo Samus, the Director of the New Geopolitics Research Network, was invited by TVP World to shed more light on the developments after six month of full-scale Russian aggression against Ukraine.

Today’s Eastern Express episode discusses Russia’s strategic plans six months after the start of full-scale Russian aggression against Ukraine. How have the dynamics of the fighting evolved over these months and what prospects can be now inferred six months after the invasion?

A group of top retired US Army generals (including former NATO commanders and former officials) called on the government to increase arms supplies to Ukraine, to enable the Ukrainian army to drive the aggressor out of occupied territories thereby preventing the conflict from freezing into a prolonged positional war. War of attrition is, in the opinion of commentators and analysts, the strategy favoured by Russia.

Polls of members of the British Conservative party indicate that after September 5, 2022, the current Foreign Secretary Liz Truss, who is known for her assertive attitude towards Russia and Russian aggression in Ukraine, will become the UK’s Prime Minister. The Ukrainians will in all likelihood continue to enjoy the UK’s support, particularly given the current pro-Ukrainian defence secretary Ben Wallace is very unlikely to be replaced.

In view of the above, an escalation of Russia’s actions against Ukraine before September 5 and acts of provocation to justify this escalation can be expected, especially with August 24 being Ukraine’s Independence Day.

Mykhailo Samus

NGRN Director

After 20 years in media as well as in security and defence analysis and consultancy, Mykhailo is an experienced researcher in the sphere of international relations, national resilience and new generation warfare. Served 12 years in the Ukrainian Armed Forces, he gained his Master’s Degree in International Journalism from the Institute of Journalism, Kyiv Shevchenko National University (2007). Having started his career as a journalist at Defense Express, he became the Editor-in-Chief of the Export Control Newsletter magazine, and then the Deputy Director of the Center for Army, Conversion and Disarmament Studies.

He was the founder (2009) of the EU CACDS office in Prague (Czech Republic), and was responsible for the coordination of CACDS international activities, its regional sections, and projects with NATO and the EU. Mykhailo also was the member of the editorial border of the CACDS Analytical Bulletin Challenges and Risks.

Now Mykhailo is a chief and one the drivers of new international project – The New Geopolitics Research Network which is an independent and nonpartisan initiative to provide a think tank platform for researchers, academics, experts, journalists, intellectuals who aspire to shape a new facets of geopolitics.

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August 2022
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