Lukashenko Will Only Follow Surovikin’s Commands

The likelihood of Belarus troops being drawn into direct confrontation with Ukraine is growing because of Russia’s newly appointed commander.

Mykhailo Samus, director of the New Geopolitics Research Network, said this on the air of 1+1 TV marathon.

He notes that Sergey Surovikin, newly appointed by the Kremlin to be in charge of Russia’s war against Ukraine, will also be in charge of the army of Belarus as an “allied country”.

“Surovikin, who now heads the united command of the Russian Armed Forces, is now already the commander of the Belarusian Armed Forces. Because according to the documents that were signed back in 1999 when the union state of the RB-RF was established, the regional group of troops consists of the armed forces of Belarus and the western military district of the Russian Federation, but this is during peacetime. During the war time, there may be different units from the Russian side, but the commander of the Russian side will of course be in charge,” noted Samus.

And he added that even the self-proclaimed dictator Lukashenka will obey the orders of the Russian. “And now Surovikin is already in charge of the Belarusian Armed Forces, and Lukashenka himself will only follow Surovikin’s commands, what resources are needed, how many people are needed and what to bring up. Therefore, the probability of Belarus’ troops being drawn into a direct confrontation with Ukraine is growing, but this will be Lukashenka’s downfall,” the expert said.

Mykhailo Samus

NGRN Director

After 20 years in media as well as in security and defence analysis and consultancy, Mykhailo is an experienced researcher in the sphere of international relations, national resilience and new generation warfare. Served 12 years in the Ukrainian Armed Forces, he gained his Master’s Degree in International Journalism from the Institute of Journalism, Kyiv Shevchenko National University (2007). Having started his career as a journalist at Defense Express, he became the Editor-in-Chief of the Export Control Newsletter magazine, and then the Deputy Director of the Center for Army, Conversion and Disarmament Studies.

He was the founder (2009) of the EU CACDS office in Prague (Czech Republic), and was responsible for the coordination of CACDS international activities, its regional sections, and projects with NATO and the EU. Mykhailo also was the member of the editorial border of the CACDS Analytical Bulletin Challenges and Risks.

Now Mykhailo is a chief and one the drivers of new international project – The New Geopolitics Research Network which is an independent and nonpartisan initiative to provide a think tank platform for researchers, academics, experts, journalists, intellectuals who aspire to shape a new facets of geopolitics.

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October 2022
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